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INT USA MLS Next Pro League · Fixture ·

Houston Dynamo II vs Real Monarchs SLC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.55 expected goals
Away form
Home win56%
Draw22%
Away win22%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 56% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win56% selection probability
Projected score2–1Houston Dynamo IIReal Monarchs SLC
Expected goals3.55Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over69% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes63% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
56% / 22% / 22%Match resultHome win56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Real Monarchs SLC win (21.9%)Double chance1X78.1%1.28
Over 69% · Under 31%Goals 2.5Over69%1.45
Yes 63% · No 37%Both teams scoreYes63%1.59
3.55 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.1 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapHouston Dynamo II winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Houston Dynamo II win56%1.791.6255.2%+0.8 pp
Draw22%4.554.0022.4%-0.4 pp
Real Monarchs SLC win22%4.554.0022.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Houston Dynamo II2.39

Home share of expected goals 67.3%

Total expected goals3.55Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 69% · Under 31%

Real Monarchs SLC1.16

Away share of expected goals 32.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 63% · No 37%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Houston Dynamo II

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Real Monarchs SLC

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Win probability excluding draw
22%
10
Points from supplied form
4
2.39
Expected goals
1.16
Houston Dynamo IIReal Monarchs SLC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Houston Dynamo II signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Real Monarchs SLC signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Houston Dynamo II vs Real Monarchs SLC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Houston Dynamo II win 56%,Draw 22%,Real Monarchs SLC win 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.55 · Over 2.5 69% · Current selection Over