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INT USA MLS Next Pro League · Fixture ·

Columbus Crew II vs New York Red Bulls II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–24.37 expected goals
Away form
Home win39%
Draw24%
Away win38%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win39% selection probability
Projected score2–2Columbus Crew IINew York Red Bulls II
Expected goals4.37Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over81% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes79% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
39% / 24% / 38%Match resultHome win39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.5%)Double chance1276.5%1.31
Over 81% · Under 19%Goals 2.5Over81%1.23
Yes 79% · No 21%Both teams scoreYes79%1.27
4.37 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
9.0 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapColumbus Crew II winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Columbus Crew II win39%2.562.3538.1%+0.9 pp
Draw24%4.173.7523.9%+0.1 pp
New York Red Bulls II win38%2.632.3538.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Columbus Crew II2.29

Home share of expected goals 52.4%

Total expected goals4.37Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 81% · Under 19%

New York Red Bulls II2.08

Away share of expected goals 47.6%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 79% · No 21%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Columbus Crew II

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

New York Red Bulls II

0.20pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Win probability excluding draw
38%
8
Points from supplied form
1
2.29
Expected goals
2.08
Columbus Crew IINew York Red Bulls II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Columbus Crew II signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02New York Red Bulls II signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Columbus Crew II vs New York Red Bulls II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Columbus Crew II win 39%,Draw 24%,New York Red Bulls II win 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.37 · Over 2.5 81% · Current selection Over