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INT USA MLS Next Pro League · Fixture ·

Minnesota United FC II vs The Town

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–22.78 expected goals
Away form
Home win41%
Draw24%
Away win35%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win41% selection probability
Projected score1–2Minnesota United FC IIThe Town
Expected goals2.78Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over53% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
41% / 24% / 35%Match resultHome win41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.4%)Double chance1275.6%1.32
Over 53% · Under 47%Goals 2.5Over53%1.89
Yes 56% · No 44%Both teams scoreYes56%1.79
2.78 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
9.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapThe Town winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Minnesota United FC II win41%2.442.1541.7%-0.7 pp
Draw24%4.173.7024.2%-0.2 pp
The Town win35%2.862.6334.1%+0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Minnesota United FC II1.25

Home share of expected goals 45%

Total expected goals2.78Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 53% · Under 47%

The Town1.53

Away share of expected goals 55%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 56% · No 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Minnesota United FC II

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

The Town

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Win probability excluding draw
35%
4
Points from supplied form
4
1.25
Expected goals
1.53
Minnesota United FC IIThe Town
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Minnesota United FC II signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02The Town signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Minnesota United FC II vs The Town FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Minnesota United FC II win 41%,Draw 24%,The Town win 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.78 · Over 2.5 53% · Current selection Over