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INT USA - MLS Next Pro League · Kamp ·

Philadelphia Union II vs FC Cincinnati II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–12.71 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr58%
Uafgjort22%
Udesejr21%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 58% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr58% selection probability
Projected score2–1Philadelphia Union IIFC Cincinnati II
Expected goals2.71Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over51% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
58% / 22% / 21%KampresultatHjemmesejr58%1.72
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FC Cincinnati II win (20.6%)Dobbeltchance1X79.4%1.26
Over 51% · Under 49%Goals 2.5Over51%1.96
Ja 51% · Nej 49%Begge hold scorerJa51%1.96
2.71 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.2 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Philadelphia Union II win58%1.721.5557.9%+0.1 pp
Uafgjort22%4.554.2021.4%+0.6 pp
FC Cincinnati II win21%4.764.3320.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Philadelphia Union II1.77

Hjemme share of expected goals 65.3%

Total expected goals2.71Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 51% · Under 49%

FC Cincinnati II0.94

Ude share of expected goals 34.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 51% · Nej 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Philadelphia Union II

1.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Point5

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Ude-context · form sequence

FC Cincinnati II

0.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Point2

SignalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
58%
Vundet probability excluding draw
21%
5
Points from supplied form
2
1.77
Expected goals
0.94
Philadelphia Union IIFC Cincinnati II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Philadelphia Union II signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Cincinnati II signalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk42% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Philadelphia Union II vs FC Cincinnati II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 58% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Philadelphia Union II vundet 58%,Uafgjort 22%,FC Cincinnati II vundet 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.71 · Over 2.5 51% · Current selection Over