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ITA Coppa Italia · Fixture ·

Ascoli vs Potenza

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.54 expected goals
Away form
Home win56%
Draw26%
Away win18%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 56% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win56% selection probability
Projected score2–1AscoliPotenza
Expected goals2.54Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under53% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo51% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
56% / 26% / 18%Match resultHome win56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Potenza win (18.4%)Double chance1X81.6%1.23
Over 47% · Under 53%Goals 2.5Under53%1.89
Yes 49% · No 51%Both teams scoreNo51%1.96
2.54 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
8.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ascoli win56%1.791.6056.3%
Draw26%3.853.5025.7%
Potenza win18%5.565.0018%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ascoli1.65

Home share of expected goals 65%

Total expected goals2.54Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 47% · Under 53%

Potenza0.89

Away share of expected goals 35%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 49% · No 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Ascoli

0.00pts / match
Played2Wins0Drawn0Losses2Points0

SignalNo recent signal

Away-context · form sequence

Potenza

0.00pts / match
Played1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Points0

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Win probability excluding draw
18%
0
Points from supplied form
0
1.65
Expected goals
0.89
AscoliPotenza
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ascoli signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Potenza signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Ascoli vs Potenza FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ascoli win 56%,Draw 26%,Potenza win 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.54 · Over 2.5 47% · Current selection Under