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ITA Italien - Coppa Italia · Match ·

Ascoli vs Potenza

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–12.54 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger56%
Oavgjort26%
Bortaseger18%
Market-based forecastHemmasegerTier B · 56% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger56% selection probability
Projected score2–1AscoliPotenza
Expected goals2.54Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under53% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej51% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
56% / 26% / 18%MatchresultatHemmaseger56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Potenza win (18.4%)Dubbelchans1X81.6%1.23
Över 47% · Under 53%Goals 2.5Under53%1.89
Ja 49% · Nej 51%Båda lagen gör målNej51%1.96
2.54 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
8.6 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ascoli win56%1.791.6056.3%
Oavgjort26%3.853.5025.7%
Potenza win18%5.565.0018%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ascoli1.65

Hemma share of expected goals 65%

Total expected goals2.54Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 47% · Under 53%

Potenza0.89

Borta share of expected goals 35%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 49% · Nej 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Ascoli

0.00pts / match
Spelade2Wins0Drawn0Losses2Poäng0

SignalNej recent signal

Borta-context · form sequence

Potenza

0.00pts / match
Spelade1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Poäng0

SignalNej recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
18%
0
Points from supplied form
0
1.65
Expected goals
0.89
AscoliPotenza
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ascoli signalNej recent signal

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Potenza signalNej recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Ascoli vs Potenza FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ascoli vunnen 56%,Oavgjort 26%,Potenza vunnen 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.54 · Över 2.5 47% · Current selection Under