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ITA Italië - Coppa Italia · Wedstrijd ·

Ascoli vs Potenza

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.54 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst56%
Gelijkspel26%
Uitwinst18%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 56% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst56% selection probability
Projected score2–1AscoliPotenza
Expected goals2.54Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder53% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee51% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
56% / 26% / 18%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst56%1.79
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Potenza win (18.4%)Dubbele Kans1X81.6%1.23
Boven 47% · Onder 53%Goals 2.5Onder53%1.89
Ja 49% · Nee 51%Beide teams scorenNee51%1.96
2.54 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
8.6 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ascoli win56%1.791.6056.3%
Gelijkspel26%3.853.5025.7%
Potenza win18%5.565.0018%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ascoli1.65

Thuis share of expected goals 65%

Total expected goals2.54Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 47% · Onder 53%

Potenza0.89

Uit share of expected goals 35%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 49% · Nee 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Ascoli

0.00pts / match
Gespeeld2Wins0Drawn0Losses2Punten0

SignalNee recent signal

Uit-context · form sequence

Potenza

0.00pts / match
Gespeeld1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Punten0

SignalNee recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
56%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
18%
0
Points from supplied form
0
1.65
Expected goals
0.89
AscoliPotenza
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ascoli signalNee recent signal

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Potenza signalNee recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk44% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Ascoli vs Potenza FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 56% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ascoli gewonnen 56%,Gelijkspel 26%,Potenza gewonnen 18%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.54 · Boven 2.5 47% · Current selection Onder