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ITA Coppa Italia · Fixture ·

Vicenza vs Catania

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.52 expected goals
Away form
Home win50%
Draw26%
Away win24%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 50% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win50% selection probability
Projected score2–1VicenzaCatania
Expected goals2.52Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under54% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo51% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
50% / 26% / 24%Match resultHome win50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Catania win (23.8%)Double chance1X76.2%1.31
Over 46% · Under 54%Goals 2.5Under54%1.85
Yes 49% · No 51%Both teams scoreNo51%1.96
2.52 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
8.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Vicenza win50%2.001.8049.8%
Draw26%3.853.4026.3%
Catania win24%4.173.7523.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Vicenza1.55

Home share of expected goals 61.5%

Total expected goals2.52Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 46% · Under 54%

Catania0.97

Away share of expected goals 38.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 49% · No 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Vicenza

1.33pts / match
Played3Wins1Drawn1Losses1Points4

SignalNo recent signal

Away-context · form sequence

Catania

0.00pts / match
Played0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Points0

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Win probability excluding draw
24%
4
Points from supplied form
0
1.55
Expected goals
0.97
VicenzaCatania
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Vicenza signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Catania signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Vicenza vs Catania FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Vicenza win 50%,Draw 26%,Catania win 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.52 · Over 2.5 46% · Current selection Under