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AUS Australia Northern NSW Premier League · Fixture ·

Belmont Swansea United SC vs Lambton Jaffas

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–23.85 expected goals
Away form
Home win34%
Draw22%
Away win44%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win44% selection probability
Projected score2–2Belmont Swansea United SCLambton Jaffas
Expected goals3.85Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over74% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes73% for the selected side
Expected corners11.3Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
34% / 22% / 44%Match resultAway win44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.3%)Double chance1277.7%1.29
Over 74% · Under 26%Goals 2.5Over74%1.35
Yes 73% · No 27%Both teams scoreYes73%1.37
3.85 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
11.3 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Belmont Swansea United SC win34%2.942.6334%0.0 pp
Draw22%4.554.0022.4%-0.4 pp
Lambton Jaffas win44%2.272.0543.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Belmont Swansea United SC1.77

Home share of expected goals 46%

Total expected goals3.85Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 74% · Under 26%

Lambton Jaffas2.08

Away share of expected goals 54%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 73% · No 27%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Belmont Swansea United SC

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Lambton Jaffas

0.20pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1

SignalAway failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Win probability excluding draw
44%
6
Points from supplied form
1
1.77
Expected goals
2.08
Belmont Swansea United SCLambton Jaffas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Belmont Swansea United SC signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lambton Jaffas signalAway failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Belmont Swansea United SC vs Lambton Jaffas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 2–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Belmont Swansea United SC win 34%,Draw 22%,Lambton Jaffas win 44%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.85 · Over 2.5 74% · Current selection Over