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AUS Australia Northern NSW Premier League · Fixture ·

Adamstown Rosebud vs Cooks Hill United

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–22.96 expected goals
Away form
Home win28%
Draw27%
Away win45%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win45% selection probability
Projected score1–2Adamstown RosebudCooks Hill United
Expected goals2.96Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over57% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
28% / 27% / 45%Match resultAway win45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.1%)Double chance1272.9%1.37
Over 57% · Under 43%Goals 2.5Over57%1.75
Yes 58% · No 42%Both teams scoreYes58%1.72
2.96 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
10.5 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Adamstown Rosebud win28%3.57
Draw27%3.70
Cooks Hill United win45%2.22

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Adamstown Rosebud1.18

Home share of expected goals 39.9%

Total expected goals2.96Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 57% · Under 43%

Cooks Hill United1.78

Away share of expected goals 60.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 58% · No 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Adamstown Rosebud

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Cooks Hill United

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalAway unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Win probability excluding draw
45%
7
Points from supplied form
10
1.18
Expected goals
1.78
Adamstown RosebudCooks Hill United
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Adamstown Rosebud signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cooks Hill United signalAway unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Adamstown Rosebud vs Cooks Hill United FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Adamstown Rosebud win 28%,Draw 27%,Cooks Hill United win 45%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.96 · Over 2.5 57% · Current selection Over