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INT Türkiye 1 Lig · Fixture ·

Sivasspor vs Esenler Erokspor

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.25 expected goals
Away form
Home win27%
Draw30%
Away win43%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win43% selection probability
Projected score1–1SivassporEsenler Erokspor
Expected goals2.25Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under61% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
27% / 30% / 43%Match resultAway win43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sivasspor win (26.8%)Double chanceX273.2%1.37
Over 39% · Under 61%Goals 2.5Under61%1.64
Yes 44% · No 56%Both teams scoreNo56%1.79
2.25 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Sivasspor win27%3.70
Draw30%3.33
Esenler Erokspor win43%2.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sivasspor0.88

Home share of expected goals 39.1%

Total expected goals2.25Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 39% · Under 61%

Esenler Erokspor1.37

Away share of expected goals 60.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 44% · No 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Sivasspor

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Esenler Erokspor

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalAway matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Win probability excluding draw
43%
6
Points from supplied form
7
0.88
Expected goals
1.37
SivassporEsenler Erokspor
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sivasspor signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Esenler Erokspor signalAway matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Sivasspor vs Esenler Erokspor FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sivasspor win 27%,Draw 30%,Esenler Erokspor win 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.25 · Over 2.5 39% · Current selection Under