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INT Turchia - 1 Lig · Partita ·

Sivasspor vs Esenler Erokspor

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.24 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa27%
Pareggio30%
Vittoria ospite43%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite43% selection probability
Projected score1–1SivassporEsenler Erokspor
Expected goals2.24Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto61% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
27% / 30% / 43%Esito partitaVittoria ospite43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sivasspor win (26.8%)Doppia ChanceX273.2%1.37
Sopra 39% · Sotto 61%Goals 2.5Sotto61%1.64
Sì 44% · No 56%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo56%1.79
2.24 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
9.5 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Sivasspor win27%3.70
Pareggio30%3.33
Esenler Erokspor win43%2.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sivasspor0.88

Casa share of expected goals 39.3%

Total expected goals2.24Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 39% · Sotto 61%

Esenler Erokspor1.36

Trasferta share of expected goals 60.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 44% · No 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Sivasspor

1.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punti6

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Esenler Erokspor

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalTrasferta matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Vinta probability excluding draw
43%
6
Points from supplied form
7
0.88
Expected goals
1.36
SivassporEsenler Erokspor
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sivasspor signalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Esenler Erokspor signalTrasferta matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Sivasspor vs Esenler Erokspor FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sivasspor vinta 27%,Pareggio 30%,Esenler Erokspor vinta 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.24 · Sopra 2.5 39% · Current selection Sotto