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INT Turquie - 1 Lig · Match ·

Sivasspor vs Esenler Erokspor

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.24 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile27%
Nul30%
Victoire à l’extérieur43%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur43% selection probability
Projected score1–1SivassporEsenler Erokspor
Expected goals2.24Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de61% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon56% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
27% / 30% / 43%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sivasspor win (26.8%)Double chanceX273.2%1.37
Plus de 39% · Moins de 61%Goals 2.5Moins de61%1.64
Oui 44% · Non 56%Les deux équipes marquentNon56%1.79
2.24 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
9.5 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Non snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCote juste
Sivasspor win27%3.70
Nul30%3.33
Esenler Erokspor win43%2.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sivasspor0.88

Domicile share of expected goals 39.3%

Total expected goals2.24Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 39% · Moins de 61%

Esenler Erokspor1.36

Extérieur share of expected goals 60.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 44% · Non 56%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Sivasspor

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Esenler Erokspor

1.40pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalExtérieur matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Gagné probability excluding draw
43%
6
Points from supplied form
7
0.88
Expected goals
1.36
SivassporEsenler Erokspor
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sivasspor signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Esenler Erokspor signalExtérieur matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Sivasspor vs Esenler Erokspor FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sivasspor victoire 27%,Nul 30%,Esenler Erokspor victoire 43%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.24 · Plus de 2.5 39% · Current selection Moins de