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INT Türkiye 1 Lig · Fixture ·

Umraniyespor vs Mardin 1969

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.83 expected goals
Away form
Home win42%
Draw28%
Away win30%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 42% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win42% selection probability
Projected score2–1UmraniyesporMardin 1969
Expected goals2.83Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over53% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes58% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
42% / 28% / 30%Match resultHome win42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.8%)Double chance1272.2%1.39
Over 53% · Under 47%Goals 2.5Over53%1.89
Yes 58% · No 42%Both teams scoreYes58%1.72
2.83 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
8.9 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Umraniyespor win42%2.382.1541.9%
Draw28%3.573.2028.1%
Mardin 1969 win30%3.333.0030%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Umraniyespor1.56

Home share of expected goals 55.1%

Total expected goals2.83Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 53% · Under 47%

Mardin 19691.27

Away share of expected goals 44.9%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 58% · No 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Umraniyespor

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Mardin 1969

0.00pts / match
Played0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Points0

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Win probability excluding draw
30%
7
Points from supplied form
0
1.56
Expected goals
1.27
UmraniyesporMardin 1969
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Umraniyespor signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Mardin 1969 signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Umraniyespor vs Mardin 1969 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Umraniyespor win 42%,Draw 28%,Mardin 1969 win 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.83 · Over 2.5 53% · Current selection Over