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INT Ecuador LigaPro Serie B · Fixture ·

LDU Portoviejo vs Cumbaya

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–11.46 expected goals
Away form
Home win41%
Draw29%
Away win30%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win41% selection probability
Projected score1–1LDU PortoviejoCumbaya
Expected goals1.46Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under82% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo73% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
41% / 29% / 30%Match resultHome win41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.5%)Double chance1270.5%1.42
Over 18% · Under 82%Goals 2.5Under82%1.22
Yes 27% · No 73%Both teams scoreNo73%1.37
1.46 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.8 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapLDU Portoviejo winDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
LDU Portoviejo win41%2.442.1541.5%-0.5 pp
Draw29%3.453.1028.8%+0.2 pp
Cumbaya win30%3.333.0029.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

LDU Portoviejo0.80

Home share of expected goals 54.8%

Total expected goals1.46Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 18% · Under 82%

Cumbaya0.66

Away share of expected goals 45.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 27% · No 73%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

LDU Portoviejo

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Cumbaya

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalHome failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Win probability excluding draw
30%
4
Points from supplied form
6
0.80
Expected goals
0.66
LDU PortoviejoCumbaya
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01LDU Portoviejo signalHome matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cumbaya signalHome failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

LDU Portoviejo vs Cumbaya FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

LDU Portoviejo win 41%,Draw 29%,Cumbaya win 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.46 · Over 2.5 18% · Current selection Under