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INT Ecuador - LigaPro Serie B · Meci ·

LDU Portoviejo vs Cumbaya

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–11.46 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde41%
Egal30%
Victorie oaspeți29%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde41% selection probability
Projected score1–1LDU PortoviejoCumbaya
Expected goals1.46Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub82% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu73% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
41% / 30% / 29%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Cumbaya win (28.7%)Șansă dublă1X71.3%1.40
Peste 18% · Sub 82%Goals 2.5Sub82%1.22
Da 27% · Nu 73%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu73%1.37
1.46 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
8.8 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapLDU Portoviejo winDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
LDU Portoviejo win41%2.442.1541.5%-0.5 pp
Egal30%3.333.0029.7%+0.3 pp
Cumbaya win29%3.453.1028.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

LDU Portoviejo0.80

Gazde share of expected goals 54.8%

Total expected goals1.46Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 18% · Sub 82%

Cumbaya0.66

Oaspeți share of expected goals 45.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 27% · Nu 73%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

LDU Portoviejo

0.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puncte4

SignalGazde matches under 2.5: 5/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Cumbaya

1.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Puncte6

SignalGazde failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Câștig probability excluding draw
29%
4
Points from supplied form
6
0.80
Expected goals
0.66
LDU PortoviejoCumbaya
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01LDU Portoviejo signalGazde matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cumbaya signalGazde failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

LDU Portoviejo vs Cumbaya FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

LDU Portoviejo câștig 41%,Egal 30%,Cumbaya câștig 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.46 · Peste 2.5 18% · Current selection Sub