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INT Ecuador - LigaPro Serie B · Wedstrijd ·

LDU Portoviejo vs Cumbaya

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–11.46 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst41%
Gelijkspel29%
Uitwinst30%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst41% selection probability
Projected score1–1LDU PortoviejoCumbaya
Expected goals1.46Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Onder82% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee73% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
41% / 29% / 30%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.5%)Dubbele Kans1270.5%1.42
Boven 18% · Onder 82%Goals 2.5Onder82%1.22
Ja 27% · Nee 73%Beide teams scorenNee73%1.37
1.46 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
8.8 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapLDU Portoviejo winDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
LDU Portoviejo win41%2.442.1541.5%-0.5 pp
Gelijkspel29%3.453.1028.8%+0.2 pp
Cumbaya win30%3.333.0029.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

LDU Portoviejo0.80

Thuis share of expected goals 54.8%

Total expected goals1.46Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Boven 18% · Onder 82%

Cumbaya0.66

Uit share of expected goals 45.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 27% · Nee 73%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

LDU Portoviejo

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalThuis matches under 2.5: 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Cumbaya

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punten6

SignalThuis failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
30%
4
Points from supplied form
6
0.80
Expected goals
0.66
LDU PortoviejoCumbaya
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01LDU Portoviejo signalThuis matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cumbaya signalThuis failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

LDU Portoviejo vs Cumbaya FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

LDU Portoviejo gewonnen 41%,Gelijkspel 29%,Cumbaya gewonnen 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.46 · Boven 2.5 18% · Current selection Onder