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INT Equador - LigaPro Serie B · Partida ·

LDU Portoviejo vs Cumbaya

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–11.46 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa34%
Empate32%
Vitória visitante34%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 34% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa34% selection probability
Projected score1–1LDU PortoviejoCumbaya
Expected goals1.46Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo82% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão73% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
34% / 32% / 34%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa34%2.94
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (32.3%)Dupla Chance1267.7%1.48
Acima 18% · Abaixo 82%Goals 2.5Abaixo82%1.22
Sim 27% · Não 73%Ambas as equipes marcamNão73%1.37
1.46 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
8.8 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.2%Largest probability gapCumbaya winDifference-0.3 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
LDU Portoviejo win34%2.942.6333.9%+0.1 pp
Empate32%3.132.8031.8%+0.2 pp
Cumbaya win34%2.942.6034.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

LDU Portoviejo0.80

Mandante share of expected goals 54.8%

Total expected goals1.46Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 18% · Abaixo 82%

Cumbaya0.66

Visitante share of expected goals 45.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 27% · Não 73%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

LDU Portoviejo

0.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Pontos4

SignalMandante matches under 2.5: 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Cumbaya

1.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Pontos6

SignalMandante failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
34%
4
Points from supplied form
6
0.80
Expected goals
0.66
LDU PortoviejoCumbaya
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01LDU Portoviejo signalMandante matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cumbaya signalMandante failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk66% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

LDU Portoviejo vs Cumbaya FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 34% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

LDU Portoviejo ganhou 34%,Empate 32%,Cumbaya ganhou 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.46 · Acima 2.5 18% · Current selection Abaixo