Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
31% / 35% / 34%Match resultDraw35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Pittsburgh Riverhounds win (30.6%)Double chanceX269.4%1.44
Over 22% · Under 78%Goals 2.5Under78%1.28
Yes 31% · No 69%Both teams scoreNo69%1.45
1.62 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
8.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Pittsburgh Riverhounds win31%3.23
Draw35%2.86
Sacramento Republic win34%2.94
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 46.9%
Total expected goals1.62Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 22% · Under 78%
Away share of expected goals 53.1%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 31% · No 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchPittsburgh Riverhounds
WLLWL
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6
SignalHome failed to score: 2/5
Away-context · form sequence
2.00pts / matchSacramento Republic
LWWDW
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10
SignalAway unbeaten 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
31%
Win probability excluding draw
34%6
Points from supplied form
100.76
Expected goals
0.86Pittsburgh RiverhoundsSacramento Republic
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans DRAW
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 35%.
Match questions
Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Sacramento Republic FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Draw · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Pittsburgh Riverhounds win 31%，Draw 35%，Sacramento Republic win 34%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 1.62 · Over 2.5 22% · Current selection Under。