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USA USA USL Championship · Partita ·

Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Sacramento Republic

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–11.62 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa31%
Pareggio35%
Vittoria ospite34%
Full model forecastPareggioTier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans DRAW Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callPareggio35% selection probability
Projected score1–1Pittsburgh RiverhoundsSacramento Republic
Expected goals1.62Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto78% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo69% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
31% / 35% / 34%Esito partitaPareggio35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Pittsburgh Riverhounds win (30.6%)Doppia ChanceX269.4%1.44
Sopra 22% · Sotto 78%Goals 2.5Sotto78%1.28
Sì 31% · No 69%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo69%1.45
1.62 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
8.7 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Pittsburgh Riverhounds win31%3.23
Pareggio35%2.86
Sacramento Republic win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Pittsburgh Riverhounds0.76

Casa share of expected goals 46.9%

Total expected goals1.62Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 22% · Sotto 78%

Sacramento Republic0.86

Trasferta share of expected goals 53.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 31% · No 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

1.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punti6

SignalCasa failed to score: 2/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Sacramento Republic

2.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punti10

SignalTrasferta unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Vinta probability excluding draw
34%
6
Points from supplied form
10
0.76
Expected goals
0.86
Pittsburgh RiverhoundsSacramento Republic
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Pittsburgh Riverhounds signalCasa failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sacramento Republic signalTrasferta unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 35%.

Match questions

Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Sacramento Republic FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Pareggio · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Pittsburgh Riverhounds vinta 31%,Pareggio 35%,Sacramento Republic vinta 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.62 · Sopra 2.5 22% · Current selection Sotto