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USA USA USL Championship · Mérkőzés ·

Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Sacramento Republic

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score1–11.62 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem31%
Döntetlen35%
Vendég győzelem34%
Full model forecastDöntetlenTier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans DRAW Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callDöntetlen35% selection probability
Projected score1–1Pittsburgh RiverhoundsSacramento Republic
Expected goals1.62Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alatt78% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem69% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Alatt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
31% / 35% / 34%Mérkőzés eredményeDöntetlen35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Pittsburgh Riverhounds win (30.6%)Dupla esélyX269.4%1.44
Felett 22% · Alatt 78%Goals 2.5Alatt78%1.28
Igen 31% · Nem 69%Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem69%1.45
1.62 total expected goalsPontos eredmény1–1
8.7 expected match cornersSzögletekAlatt 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nem snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityValós odds
Pittsburgh Riverhounds win31%3.23
Döntetlen35%2.86
Sacramento Republic win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Pittsburgh Riverhounds0.76

Hazai share of expected goals 46.9%

Total expected goals1.62Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Felett 22% · Alatt 78%

Sacramento Republic0.86

Vendég share of expected goals 53.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitIgen 31% · Nem 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

1.20pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Pontok6

SignalHazai failed to score: 2/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Sacramento Republic

2.00pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontok10

SignalVendég unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Nyert probability excluding draw
34%
6
Points from supplied form
10
0.76
Expected goals
0.86
Pittsburgh RiverhoundsSacramento Republic
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Pittsburgh Riverhounds signalHazai failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sacramento Republic signalVendég unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 35%.

Match questions

Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Sacramento Republic FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Döntetlen · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Pittsburgh Riverhounds nyer 31%,Döntetlen 35%,Sacramento Republic nyer 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.62 · 2.5 felett 22% · Current selection Alatt