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USA USA USL Championship · Mérkőzés ·

Birmingham Legion FC vs Lexington SC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score1–12.66 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem33%
Döntetlen29%
Vendég győzelem39%
Full model forecastVendég győzelemTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVendég győzelem39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Birmingham Legion FCLexington SC
Expected goals2.66Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alatt50% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Alatt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
33% / 29% / 39%Mérkőzés eredményeVendég győzelem39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.8%)Dupla esély1271.2%1.40
Felett 50% · Alatt 50%Goals 2.5Alatt50%2.00
Igen 54% · Nem 46%Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen54%1.85
2.66 total expected goalsPontos eredmény1–1
9.4 expected match cornersSzögletekAlatt 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nem snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityValós odds
Birmingham Legion FC win33%3.03
Döntetlen29%3.45
Lexington SC win39%2.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Birmingham Legion FC1.23

Hazai share of expected goals 46.2%

Total expected goals2.66Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Felett 50% · Alatt 50%

Lexington SC1.43

Vendég share of expected goals 53.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitIgen 54% · Nem 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Birmingham Legion FC

1.00pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Pontok5

SignalVendég unbeaten 4/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Lexington SC

2.00pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontok10

SignalVendég matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
33%
Nyert probability excluding draw
39%
5
Points from supplied form
10
1.23
Expected goals
1.43
Birmingham Legion FCLexington SC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Birmingham Legion FC signalVendég unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Lexington SC signalVendég matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Birmingham Legion FC vs Lexington SC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vendég győzelem · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Birmingham Legion FC nyer 33%,Döntetlen 29%,Lexington SC nyer 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.66 · 2.5 felett 50% · Current selection Alatt