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USA USA USL Championship · Mecz ·

Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Sacramento Republic

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–11.62 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy41%
Remis29%
Wygrana gości30%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Pittsburgh RiverhoundsSacramento Republic
Expected goals1.62Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej78% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie69% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
41% / 29% / 30%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.5%)Podwójna szansa1271.5%1.40
Powyżej 22% · Poniżej 78%Goals 2.5Poniżej78%1.28
Tak 31% · Nie 69%Obie drużyny strzeląNie69%1.45
1.62 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
8.7 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.2%Largest probability gapPittsburgh Riverhounds winDifference-1.4 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Pittsburgh Riverhounds win41%2.442.1042.4%-1.4 pp
Remis29%3.453.2027.9%+1.1 pp
Sacramento Republic win30%3.333.0029.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Pittsburgh Riverhounds0.76

Gospodarze share of expected goals 46.9%

Total expected goals1.62Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 22% · Poniżej 78%

Sacramento Republic0.86

Goście share of expected goals 53.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 31% · Nie 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

1.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkty6

SignalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Sacramento Republic

2.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkty10

SignalGoście unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
30%
6
Points from supplied form
10
0.76
Expected goals
0.86
Pittsburgh RiverhoundsSacramento Republic
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Pittsburgh Riverhounds signalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sacramento Republic signalGoście unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Sacramento Republic FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Pittsburgh Riverhounds wygrana 41%,Remis 29%,Sacramento Republic wygrana 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.62 · Powyżej 2.5 22% · Current selection Poniżej