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USA USA USL Championship · Zápas ·

Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Sacramento Republic

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score1–11.62 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich41%
Remíza29%
Výhra hostí30%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich41% selection probability
Projected score1–1Pittsburgh RiverhoundsSacramento Republic
Expected goals1.62Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menej78% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúNie69% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Menej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
41% / 29% / 30%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.5%)Dvojitá šanca1271.5%1.40
Viac 22% · Menej 78%Goals 2.5Menej78%1.28
Áno 31% · Nie 69%Oba tímy skórujúNie69%1.45
1.62 total expected goalsPresné skóre1–1
8.7 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.2%Largest probability gapPittsburgh Riverhounds winDifference-1.4 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Pittsburgh Riverhounds win41%2.442.1042.4%-1.4 pp
Remíza29%3.453.2027.9%+1.1 pp
Sacramento Republic win30%3.333.0029.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Pittsburgh Riverhounds0.76

Domáci share of expected goals 46.9%

Total expected goals1.62Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Viac 22% · Menej 78%

Sacramento Republic0.86

Hostia share of expected goals 53.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitÁno 31% · Nie 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Pittsburgh Riverhounds

1.20pts / match
Odohrané5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Body6

SignalDomáci failed to score: 2/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Sacramento Republic

2.00pts / match
Odohrané5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Body10

SignalHostia unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Výhra probability excluding draw
30%
6
Points from supplied form
10
0.76
Expected goals
0.86
Pittsburgh RiverhoundsSacramento Republic
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Pittsburgh Riverhounds signalDomáci failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sacramento Republic signalHostia unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Sacramento Republic FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Pittsburgh Riverhounds výhra 41%,Remíza 29%,Sacramento Republic výhra 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.62 · Viac 2.5 22% · Current selection Menej