Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
52% / 23% / 25%Match resultHome win52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.9%)Double chance1277.1%1.30
Over 67% · Under 33%Goals 2.5Over67%1.49
Yes 67% · No 33%Both teams scoreYes67%1.49
3.44 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2——
11.7 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin12.2%Largest probability gapThor/KA Akureyri (W) winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Thor/KA Akureyri (W) win52%1.921.7052.4%-0.4 pp
Draw23%4.353.9022.8%+0.2 pp
Fram Reykjavik (W) win25%4.003.6024.7%+0.3 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 54.7%
Total expected goals3.44Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 67% · Under 33%
Away share of expected goals 45.3%
Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 67% · No 33%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchThor/KA Akureyri (W)
LWLWW
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9
SignalHome won 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchFram Reykjavik (W)
WWWLL
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9
SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
52%
Win probability excluding draw
25%9
Points from supplied form
91.88
Expected goals
1.56Thor/KA Akureyri (W)Fram Reykjavik (W)
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 23%.
Match questions
Thor/KA Akureyri (W) vs Fram Reykjavik (W) FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–2 · 52% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Thor/KA Akureyri (W) win 52%，Draw 23%，Fram Reykjavik (W) win 25%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.44 · Over 2.5 67% · Current selection Over。