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ISL Iceland Premier League Women · Fixture ·

Valur Reykjavik (W) vs Vikingur Reykjavik (W)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–23.01 expected goals
Away form
Home win31%
Draw27%
Away win42%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win42% selection probability
Projected score1–2Valur Reykjavik (W)Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
Expected goals3.01Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over58% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes60% for the selected side
Expected corners12.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
31% / 27% / 42%Match resultAway win42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.3%)Double chance1272.7%1.38
Over 58% · Under 42%Goals 2.5Over58%1.72
Yes 60% · No 40%Both teams scoreYes60%1.67
3.01 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
12.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Valur Reykjavik (W) win31%3.23
Draw27%3.70
Vikingur Reykjavik (W) win42%2.38

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Valur Reykjavik (W)1.32

Home share of expected goals 43.9%

Total expected goals3.01Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 58% · Under 42%

Vikingur Reykjavik (W)1.69

Away share of expected goals 56.1%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 60% · No 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Valur Reykjavik (W)

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Vikingur Reykjavik (W)

0.40pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
31%
Win probability excluding draw
42%
3
Points from supplied form
2
1.32
Expected goals
1.69
Valur Reykjavik (W)Vikingur Reykjavik (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Valur Reykjavik (W) signalAway matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Vikingur Reykjavik (W) signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Valur Reykjavik (W) vs Vikingur Reykjavik (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Valur Reykjavik (W) win 31%,Draw 27%,Vikingur Reykjavik (W) win 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.01 · Over 2.5 58% · Current selection Over