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ISL Iceland Premier League Women · Wedstrijd ·

Thor/KA Akureyri (D) vs Fram Reykjavik (W)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–23.44 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst52%
Gelijkspel23%
Uitwinst25%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst52% selection probability
Projected score2–2Thor/KA Akureyri (D)Fram Reykjavik (W)
Expected goals3.44Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven67% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa67% for the selected side
Expected corners11.7Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
52% / 23% / 25%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.9%)Dubbele Kans1277.1%1.30
Boven 67% · Onder 33%Goals 2.5Boven67%1.49
Ja 67% · Nee 33%Beide teams scorenJa67%1.49
3.44 total expected goalsExacte score2–2
11.7 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.2%Largest probability gapThor/KA Akureyri (D) winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Thor/KA Akureyri (D) win52%1.921.7052.4%-0.4 pp
Gelijkspel23%4.353.9022.8%+0.2 pp
Fram Reykjavik (W) win25%4.003.6024.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Thor/KA Akureyri (D)1.88

Thuis share of expected goals 54.7%

Total expected goals3.44Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 67% · Onder 33%

Fram Reykjavik (W)1.56

Uit share of expected goals 45.3%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 67% · Nee 33%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Thor/KA Akureyri (D)

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9

SignalThuis won 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Fram Reykjavik (W)

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9

SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
25%
9
Points from supplied form
9
1.88
Expected goals
1.56
Thor/KA Akureyri (D)Fram Reykjavik (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Thor/KA Akureyri (D) signalThuis won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fram Reykjavik (W) signalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Thor/KA Akureyri (D) vs Fram Reykjavik (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–2 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Thor/KA Akureyri (D) gewonnen 52%,Gelijkspel 23%,Fram Reykjavik (W) gewonnen 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.44 · Boven 2.5 67% · Current selection Boven