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IRL Republic of Ireland First Division · Fixture ·

Cork City vs Kerry FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.91 expected goals
Away form
Home win64%
Draw22%
Away win14%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 64% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win64% selection probability
Projected score2–1Cork CityKerry FC
Expected goals2.91Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over56% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
64% / 22% / 14%Match resultHome win64%1.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Kerry FC win (14%)Double chance1X86%1.16
Over 56% · Under 44%Goals 2.5Over56%1.79
Yes 46% · No 54%Both teams scoreNo54%1.85
2.91 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.7 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapCork City winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cork City win64%1.561.4263.2%+0.8 pp
Draw22%4.554.0022.4%-0.4 pp
Kerry FC win14%7.146.2514.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cork City2.20

Home share of expected goals 75.6%

Total expected goals2.91Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 56% · Under 44%

Kerry FC0.71

Away share of expected goals 24.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 46% · No 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Cork City

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Kerry FC

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalAway unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
64%
Win probability excluding draw
14%
6
Points from supplied form
10
2.20
Expected goals
0.71
Cork CityKerry FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cork City signalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Kerry FC signalAway unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk36% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Cork City vs Kerry FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 64% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cork City win 64%,Draw 22%,Kerry FC win 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.91 · Over 2.5 56% · Current selection Over