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IRL Irlandia - First Division · Mecz ·

Cork City vs Kerry FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–12.91 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy64%
Remis22%
Wygrana gości14%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 64% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy64% selection probability
Projected score2–1Cork CityKerry FC
Expected goals2.91Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej56% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
64% / 22% / 14%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy64%1.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Kerry FC win (14%)Podwójna szansa1X86%1.16
Powyżej 56% · Poniżej 44%Goals 2.5Powyżej56%1.79
Tak 46% · Nie 54%Obie drużyny strzeląNie54%1.85
2.91 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–1
9.7 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapCork City winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cork City win64%1.561.4263.2%+0.8 pp
Remis22%4.554.0022.4%-0.4 pp
Kerry FC win14%7.146.2514.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cork City2.20

Gospodarze share of expected goals 75.6%

Total expected goals2.91Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 56% · Poniżej 44%

Kerry FC0.71

Goście share of expected goals 24.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitTak 46% · Nie 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

Cork City

1.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkty6

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 5/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Kerry FC

2.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkty10

SignalGoście unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
64%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
14%
6
Points from supplied form
10
2.20
Expected goals
0.71
Cork CityKerry FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cork City signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Kerry FC signalGoście unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk36% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Cork City vs Kerry FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–1 · 64% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cork City wygrana 64%,Remis 22%,Kerry FC wygrana 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.91 · Powyżej 2.5 56% · Current selection Powyżej