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IRL Republic of Ireland First Division · Kamp ·

Cork City vs Kerry FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–12.91 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier64%
Uavgjort22%
Borteseier13%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 64% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier64% selection probability
Projected score2–1Cork CityKerry FC
Expected goals2.91Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over56% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerNei54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
64% / 22% / 13%KampresultatHjemmeseier64%1.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Kerry FC win (13.5%)Dobbel sjanse1X86.5%1.16
Over 56% · Under 44%Goals 2.5Over56%1.79
Ja 46% · Nei 54%Begge lag scorerNei54%1.85
2.91 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.7 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapKerry FC winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cork City win64%1.561.4063.9%+0.1 pp
Uavgjort22%4.554.0022.4%-0.4 pp
Kerry FC win13%7.696.5013.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cork City2.20

Hjemme share of expected goals 75.6%

Total expected goals2.91Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 56% · Under 44%

Kerry FC0.71

Borte share of expected goals 24.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 46% · Nei 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Cork City

1.20pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Poeng6

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Kerry FC

2.00pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poeng10

SignalBorte unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
64%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
13%
6
Points from supplied form
10
2.20
Expected goals
0.71
Cork CityKerry FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cork City signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Kerry FC signalBorte unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk36% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Cork City vs Kerry FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–1 · 64% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cork City vunnet 64%,Uavgjort 22%,Kerry FC vunnet 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.91 · Over 2.5 56% · Current selection Over