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IRL Ирландия - Первый дивизион · Матч ·

Корк Сити vs Керри

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.91 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев64%
Ничья22%
Победа гостей14%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 64% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев64% selection probability
Projected score2–1Корк СитиКерри
Expected goals2.91Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше56% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
64% / 22% / 14%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев64%1.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Керри win (14%)Двойной шанс1X86%1.16
Больше 56% · Меньше 44%Goals 2.5Больше56%1.79
Да 46% · Нет 54%Обе забьютНет54%1.85
2.91 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.7 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapКорк Сити winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Корк Сити win64%1.561.4263.2%+0.8 pp
Ничья22%4.554.0022.4%-0.4 pp
Керри win14%7.146.2514.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Корк Сити2.20

Хозяева share of expected goals 75.6%

Total expected goals2.91Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 56% · Меньше 44%

Керри0.71

Гости share of expected goals 24.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 46% · Нет 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Корк Сити

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Керри

2.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Баллы10

SignalГости unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
64%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
14%
6
Points from supplied form
10
2.20
Expected goals
0.71
Корк СитиКерри
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Корк Сити signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Керри signalГости unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk36% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Корк Сити vs Керри FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 64% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Корк Сити выигрыш 64%,Ничья 22%,Керри выигрыш 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.91 · ТБ 2.5 56% · Current selection Больше