MatchFormula Find a match
Menu
UTC+8
Time zoneAsia/Shanghai
English
KOR South Korea K League 1 · Fixture ·

Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gwangju FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.24 expected goals
Away form
Home win50%
Draw29%
Away win21%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win50% selection probability
Projected score2–1Bucheon FC 1995Gwangju FC
Expected goals2.24Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under61% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo60% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
50% / 29% / 21%Match resultHome win50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Gwangju FC win (20.7%)Double chance1X79.3%1.26
Over 39% · Under 61%Goals 2.5Under61%1.64
Yes 40% · No 60%Both teams scoreNo60%1.67
2.24 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
8.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Bucheon FC 1995 win50%2.00
Draw29%3.45
Gwangju FC win21%4.76

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Bucheon FC 19951.56

Home share of expected goals 69.6%

Total expected goals2.24Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 39% · Under 61%

Gwangju FC0.68

Away share of expected goals 30.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 40% · No 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Bucheon FC 1995

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Gwangju FC

0.40pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalAway failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Win probability excluding draw
21%
5
Points from supplied form
2
1.56
Expected goals
0.68
Bucheon FC 1995Gwangju FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Bucheon FC 1995 signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gwangju FC signalAway failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gwangju FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Bucheon FC 1995 win 50%,Draw 29%,Gwangju FC win 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.24 · Over 2.5 39% · Current selection Under