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KOR South Korea K League 1 · Fixture ·

FC Anyang vs Daejeon Hana Citizen

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.86 expected goals
Away form
Home win34%
Draw28%
Away win37%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win37% selection probability
Projected score1–1FC AnyangDaejeon Hana Citizen
Expected goals2.86Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over55% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes58% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
34% / 28% / 37%Match resultAway win37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.1%)Double chance1271.9%1.39
Over 55% · Under 45%Goals 2.5Over55%1.82
Yes 58% · No 42%Both teams scoreYes58%1.72
2.86 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
8.8 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
FC Anyang win34%2.94
Draw28%3.57
Daejeon Hana Citizen win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Anyang1.38

Home share of expected goals 48.3%

Total expected goals2.86Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 55% · Under 45%

Daejeon Hana Citizen1.48

Away share of expected goals 51.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 58% · No 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

FC Anyang

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Daejeon Hana Citizen

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Win probability excluding draw
37%
10
Points from supplied form
6
1.38
Expected goals
1.48
FC AnyangDaejeon Hana Citizen
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Anyang signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Daejeon Hana Citizen signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

FC Anyang vs Daejeon Hana Citizen FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Anyang win 34%,Draw 28%,Daejeon Hana Citizen win 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.86 · Over 2.5 55% · Current selection Over