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KOR Corea del Sud - K-League 1 · Partita ·

Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gwangju FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–12.24 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa50%
Pareggio29%
Vittoria ospite21%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa50% selection probability
Projected score2–1Bucheon FC 1995Gwangju FC
Expected goals2.24Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto61% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo60% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
50% / 29% / 21%Esito partitaVittoria casa50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Gwangju FC win (21.5%)Doppia Chance1X78.5%1.27
Sopra 39% · Sotto 61%Goals 2.5Sotto61%1.64
Sì 40% · No 60%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo60%1.67
2.24 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
8.4 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.7%Largest probability gapBucheon FC 1995 winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Bucheon FC 1995 win50%2.001.8548.8%+1.2 pp
Pareggio29%3.453.1029.1%-0.1 pp
Gwangju FC win21%4.764.1022%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Bucheon FC 19951.56

Casa share of expected goals 69.6%

Total expected goals2.24Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 39% · Sotto 61%

Gwangju FC0.68

Trasferta share of expected goals 30.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 40% · No 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Bucheon FC 1995

1.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punti5

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Gwangju FC

0.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punti2

SignalTrasferta failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Vinta probability excluding draw
21%
5
Points from supplied form
2
1.56
Expected goals
0.68
Bucheon FC 1995Gwangju FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Bucheon FC 1995 signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gwangju FC signalTrasferta failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gwangju FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Bucheon FC 1995 vinta 50%,Pareggio 29%,Gwangju FC vinta 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.24 · Sopra 2.5 39% · Current selection Sotto