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KOR South Korea K League 1 · Maç ·

Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gwangju FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score2–12.24 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır50%
Beraberlik29%
Deplasman kazanır21%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır50% selection probability
Projected score2–1Bucheon FC 1995Gwangju FC
Expected goals2.24Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alt61% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır60% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
50% / 29% / 21%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Gwangju FC win (20.7%)Çifte Şans1X79.3%1.26
Üst 39% · Alt 61%Goals 2.5Alt61%1.64
Evet 40% · Hayır 60%Karşılıklı gol varHayır60%1.67
2.24 total expected goalsDoğru skor2–1
8.4 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Hayır snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityAdil oran
Bucheon FC 1995 win50%2.00
Beraberlik29%3.45
Gwangju FC win21%4.76

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Bucheon FC 19951.56

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 69.6%

Total expected goals2.24Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üst 39% · Alt 61%

Gwangju FC0.68

Deplasman share of expected goals 30.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitEvet 40% · Hayır 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Bucheon FC 1995

1.00pts / match
Oynanan5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puan5

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Gwangju FC

0.40pts / match
Oynanan5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Puan2

SignalDeplasman failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
21%
5
Points from supplied form
2
1.56
Expected goals
0.68
Bucheon FC 1995Gwangju FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Bucheon FC 1995 signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gwangju FC signalDeplasman failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Bucheon FC 1995 vs Gwangju FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Bucheon FC 1995 kazanç 50%,Beraberlik 29%,Gwangju FC kazanç 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.24 · 2.5 Üst 39% · Current selection Alt