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NOR Norway Division 1 · Round 14 ·

Asane vs Kongsvinger

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–33.84 expected goals
Away form
Home win22%
Draw23%
Away win55%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win55% selection probability
Projected score1–3AsaneKongsvinger
Expected goals3.84Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over74% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes67% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
22% / 23% / 55%Match resultAway win55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Asane win (22.4%)Double chanceX277.6%1.29
Over 74% · Under 26%Goals 2.5Over74%1.35
Yes 67% · No 33%Both teams scoreYes67%1.49
3.84 total expected goalsCorrect score1–3
10.9 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Asane win22%4.55
Draw23%4.35
Kongsvinger win55%1.82

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Asane1.29

Home share of expected goals 33.6%

Total expected goals3.84Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 74% · Under 26%

Kongsvinger2.55

Away share of expected goals 66.4%

Projected score1–3BTTS splitYes 67% · No 33%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Asane

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Kongsvinger

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
22%
Win probability excluding draw
55%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.29
Expected goals
2.55
AsaneKongsvinger
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Asane signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Kongsvinger signalAway matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Asane vs Kongsvinger FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–3 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Asane win 22%,Draw 23%,Kongsvinger win 55%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.84 · Over 2.5 74% · Current selection Over