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NOR Norvegia - 1. Division · Round 14 ·

Asane vs Kongsvinger

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–33.84 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa22%
Pareggio23%
Vittoria ospite55%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite55% selection probability
Projected score1–3AsaneKongsvinger
Expected goals3.84Apertura match profile
Goals 2.5Sopra74% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano67% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Sopra 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
22% / 23% / 55%Esito partitaVittoria ospite55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Asane win (22.4%)Doppia ChanceX277.6%1.29
Sopra 74% · Sotto 26%Goals 2.5Sopra74%1.35
Sì 67% · No 33%Entrambe le squadre segnano67%1.49
3.84 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–3
10.9 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Asane win22%4.55
Pareggio23%4.35
Kongsvinger win55%1.82

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Asane1.29

Casa share of expected goals 33.6%

Total expected goals3.84Apertura

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 74% · Sotto 26%

Kongsvinger2.55

Trasferta share of expected goals 66.4%

Projected score1–3BTTS split 67% · No 33%Match profileApertura
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Asane

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Kongsvinger

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalTrasferta matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
22%
Vinta probability excluding draw
55%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.29
Expected goals
2.55
AsaneKongsvinger
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Asane signalCasa matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Kongsvinger signalTrasferta matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Asane vs Kongsvinger FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–3 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Asane vinta 22%,Pareggio 23%,Kongsvinger vinta 55%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.84 · Sopra 2.5 74% · Current selection Sopra