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NOR Norge - Division 1 · Round 14 ·

Asane vs Kongsvinger

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–33.84 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger22%
Oavgjort23%
Bortaseger55%
Full model forecastBortasegerTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callBortaseger55% selection probability
Projected score1–3AsaneKongsvinger
Expected goals3.84Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över74% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa67% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
22% / 23% / 55%MatchresultatBortaseger55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Asane win (22.4%)DubbelchansX277.6%1.29
Över 74% · Under 26%Goals 2.5Över74%1.35
Ja 67% · Nej 33%Båda lagen gör målJa67%1.49
3.84 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–3
10.9 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Asane win22%4.55
Oavgjort23%4.35
Kongsvinger win55%1.82

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Asane1.29

Hemma share of expected goals 33.6%

Total expected goals3.84Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 74% · Under 26%

Kongsvinger2.55

Borta share of expected goals 66.4%

Projected score1–3BTTS splitJa 67% · Nej 33%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Asane

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poäng4

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Kongsvinger

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalBorta matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
22%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
55%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.29
Expected goals
2.55
AsaneKongsvinger
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Asane signalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Kongsvinger signalBorta matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Asane vs Kongsvinger FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Bortaseger · Projected score 1–3 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Asane vunnen 22%,Oavgjort 23%,Kongsvinger vunnen 55%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.84 · Över 2.5 74% · Current selection Över