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NOR Norge - Division 1 · Round 14 ·

Haugesund vs Raufoss

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score4–15.04 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger70%
Oavgjort17%
Bortaseger14%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 70% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger70% selection probability
Projected score4–1HaugesundRaufoss
Expected goals5.04Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över88% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa70% for the selected side
Expected corners11.4Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
70% / 17% / 14%MatchresultatHemmaseger70%1.43
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Raufoss win (13.7%)Dubbelchans1X86.3%1.16
Över 88% · Under 12%Goals 2.5Över88%1.14
Ja 70% · Nej 30%Båda lagen gör målJa70%1.43
5.04 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat4–1
11.4 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Haugesund win70%1.43
Oavgjort17%5.88
Raufoss win14%7.14

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Haugesund3.80

Hemma share of expected goals 75.4%

Total expected goals5.04Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 88% · Under 12%

Raufoss1.24

Borta share of expected goals 24.6%

Projected score4–1BTTS splitJa 70% · Nej 30%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Haugesund

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poäng9

SignalHemma won 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Raufoss

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poäng9

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
70%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
14%
9
Points from supplied form
9
3.80
Expected goals
1.24
HaugesundRaufoss
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Haugesund signalHemma won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Raufoss signalHemma matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk30% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

Haugesund vs Raufoss FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 4–1 · 70% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Haugesund vunnen 70%,Oavgjort 17%,Raufoss vunnen 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.04 · Över 2.5 88% · Current selection Över