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NOR Norway Division 1 · Round 14 ·

Haugesund vs Raufoss

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score4–15.04 expected goals
Away form
Home win70%
Draw17%
Away win14%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 70% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win70% selection probability
Projected score4–1HaugesundRaufoss
Expected goals5.04Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over88% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes70% for the selected side
Expected corners11.4Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
70% / 17% / 14%Match resultHome win70%1.43
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Raufoss win (13.7%)Double chance1X86.3%1.16
Over 88% · Under 12%Goals 2.5Over88%1.14
Yes 70% · No 30%Both teams scoreYes70%1.43
5.04 total expected goalsCorrect score4–1
11.4 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Haugesund win70%1.43
Draw17%5.88
Raufoss win14%7.14

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Haugesund3.80

Home share of expected goals 75.4%

Total expected goals5.04Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 88% · Under 12%

Raufoss1.24

Away share of expected goals 24.6%

Projected score4–1BTTS splitYes 70% · No 30%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Haugesund

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome won 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Raufoss

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
70%
Win probability excluding draw
14%
9
Points from supplied form
9
3.80
Expected goals
1.24
HaugesundRaufoss
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Haugesund signalHome won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Raufoss signalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk30% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

Haugesund vs Raufoss FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 4–1 · 70% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Haugesund win 70%,Draw 17%,Raufoss win 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.04 · Over 2.5 88% · Current selection Over