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NOR Norway Division 1 · Round 14 ·

Strommen vs Ranheim

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–23.77 expected goals
Away form
Home win28%
Draw24%
Away win48%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 48% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win48% selection probability
Projected score2–2StrommenRanheim
Expected goals3.77Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over73% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes70% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
28% / 24% / 48%Match resultAway win48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.5%)Double chance1275.5%1.32
Over 73% · Under 27%Goals 2.5Over73%1.37
Yes 70% · No 30%Both teams scoreYes70%1.43
3.77 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
10.6 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Strommen win28%3.57
Draw24%4.17
Ranheim win48%2.08

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Strommen1.50

Home share of expected goals 39.8%

Total expected goals3.77Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 73% · Under 27%

Ranheim2.27

Away share of expected goals 60.2%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 70% · No 30%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Strommen

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Ranheim

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Win probability excluding draw
48%
10
Points from supplied form
3
1.50
Expected goals
2.27
StrommenRanheim
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Strommen signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ranheim signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Strommen vs Ranheim FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 2–2 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Strommen win 28%,Draw 24%,Ranheim win 48%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.77 · Over 2.5 73% · Current selection Over