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TijdzoneAsia/Shanghai
Nederlands
NOR Noorwegen - 1. divisjon · Round 14 ·

Asane vs Kongsvinger

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–33.84 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst22%
Gelijkspel23%
Uitwinst55%
Full model forecastUitwinstTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUitwinst55% selection probability
Projected score1–3AsaneKongsvinger
Expected goals3.84Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven74% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa67% for the selected side
Expected corners10.9Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
22% / 23% / 55%WedstrijdresultaatUitwinst55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Asane win (22.4%)Dubbele KansX277.6%1.29
Boven 74% · Onder 26%Goals 2.5Boven74%1.35
Ja 67% · Nee 33%Beide teams scorenJa67%1.49
3.84 total expected goalsExacte score1–3
10.9 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Asane win22%4.55
Gelijkspel23%4.35
Kongsvinger win55%1.82

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Asane1.29

Thuis share of expected goals 33.6%

Total expected goals3.84Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 74% · Onder 26%

Kongsvinger2.55

Uit share of expected goals 66.4%

Projected score1–3BTTS splitJa 67% · Nee 33%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Asane

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Kongsvinger

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalUit matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
22%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
55%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.29
Expected goals
2.55
AsaneKongsvinger
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Asane signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Kongsvinger signalUit matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Asane vs Kongsvinger FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Uitwinst · Projected score 1–3 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Asane gewonnen 22%,Gelijkspel 23%,Kongsvinger gewonnen 55%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.84 · Boven 2.5 74% · Current selection Boven