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LUX ルクセンブルク ディビジオン・ナツィオナーレ · 試合 ·

UNカエリェング vs USホステルト

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–23.38 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利40%
引き分け26%
アウェイ勝利34%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利40% selection probability
Projected score2–2UNカエリェングUSホステルト
Expected goals3.38始値 match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー66% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい67% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
40% / 26% / 34%試合結果ホーム勝利40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.5%)ダブルチャンス1274.5%1.34
オーバー 66% · アンダー 34%Goals 2.5オーバー66%1.52
はい 67% · いいえ 33%両チーム得点はい67%1.49
3.38 total expected goals正確なスコア2–2
9.8 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.3 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
UNカエリェング win40%2.502.2540%0.0 pp
引き分け26%3.853.5025.7%+0.3 pp
USホステルト win34%2.942.6334.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

UNカエリェング1.81

ホーム share of expected goals 53.6%

Total expected goals3.38始値

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 66% · アンダー 34%

USホステルト1.57

アウェイ share of expected goals 46.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitはい 67% · いいえ 33%Match profile始値
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

UNカエリェング

2.40pts / match
試合数5Wins4Drawn0Losses1ポイント12

Signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

USホステルト

1.80pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn0Losses2ポイント9

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
勝ち probability excluding draw
34%
12
Points from supplied form
9
1.81
Expected goals
1.57
UNカエリェングUSホステルト
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01UNカエリェング signalホーム unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02USホステルト signalホーム matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

UNカエリェング vs USホステルト FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

UNカエリェング 勝ち 40%,引き分け 26%,USホステルト 勝ち 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.38 · オーバー 2.5 66% · Current selection オーバー