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IdőzónaAsia/Shanghai
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LUX Luxemburg - Division Nationale · Mérkőzés ·

UN Kaerjeng vs US Hostert

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score2–23.38 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem40%
Döntetlen26%
Vendég győzelem34%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem40% selection probability
Projected score2–2UN KaerjengUS Hostert
Expected goals3.38Nyitó match profile
Goals 2.5Felett66% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen67% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Felett 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
40% / 26% / 34%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.5%)Dupla esély1274.5%1.34
Felett 66% · Alatt 34%Goals 2.5Felett66%1.52
Igen 67% · Nem 33%Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen67%1.49
3.38 total expected goalsPontos eredmény2–2
9.8 expected match cornersSzögletekFelett 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
UN Kaerjeng win40%2.502.2540%0.0 pp
Döntetlen26%3.853.5025.7%+0.3 pp
US Hostert win34%2.942.6334.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

UN Kaerjeng1.81

Hazai share of expected goals 53.6%

Total expected goals3.38Nyitó

Dedicated goals model: Felett 66% · Alatt 34%

US Hostert1.57

Vendég share of expected goals 46.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitIgen 67% · Nem 33%Match profileNyitó
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

UN Kaerjeng

2.40pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Pontok12

SignalHazai unbeaten 4/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

US Hostert

1.80pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Pontok9

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Nyert probability excluding draw
34%
12
Points from supplied form
9
1.81
Expected goals
1.57
UN KaerjengUS Hostert
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01UN Kaerjeng signalHazai unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02US Hostert signalHazai matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

UN Kaerjeng vs US Hostert FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 2–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

UN Kaerjeng nyer 40%,Döntetlen 26%,US Hostert nyer 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.38 · 2.5 felett 66% · Current selection Felett