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LUX Luxemburgo - División Nacional · Partido ·

UN Kaerjeng vs US Hostert

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–23.38 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local40%
Empate26%
Victoria visitante34%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local40% selection probability
Projected score2–2UN KaerjengUS Hostert
Expected goals3.38Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de66% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan67% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
40% / 26% / 34%Resultado del partidoVictoria local40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.5%)Doble Oportunidad1274.5%1.34
Más de 66% · Menos de 34%Goals 2.5Más de66%1.52
Sí 67% · No 33%Ambos equipos marcan67%1.49
3.38 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–2
9.8 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
UN Kaerjeng win40%2.502.2540%0.0 pp
Empate26%3.853.5025.7%+0.3 pp
US Hostert win34%2.942.6334.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

UN Kaerjeng1.81

Local share of expected goals 53.6%

Total expected goals3.38Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 66% · Menos de 34%

US Hostert1.57

Visitante share of expected goals 46.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS split 67% · No 33%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

UN Kaerjeng

2.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puntos12

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

US Hostert

1.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puntos9

SignalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Ganado probability excluding draw
34%
12
Points from supplied form
9
1.81
Expected goals
1.57
UN KaerjengUS Hostert
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01UN Kaerjeng signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02US Hostert signalLocal matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

UN Kaerjeng vs US Hostert FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

UN Kaerjeng ganada 40%,Empate 26%,US Hostert ganada 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.38 · Más de 2.5 66% · Current selection Más de