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LUX Luxembursko - Division Nationale · Zápas ·

UN Kaerjeng vs US Hostert

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score2–23.38 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich40%
Remíza26%
Výhra hostí34%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich40% selection probability
Projected score2–2UN KaerjengUS Hostert
Expected goals3.38Otvoriť match profile
Goals 2.5Viac66% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúÁno67% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Viac 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
40% / 26% / 34%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.5%)Dvojitá šanca1274.5%1.34
Viac 66% · Menej 34%Goals 2.5Viac66%1.52
Áno 67% · Nie 33%Oba tímy skórujúÁno67%1.49
3.38 total expected goalsPresné skóre2–2
9.8 expected match cornersRohyViac 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
UN Kaerjeng win40%2.502.2540%0.0 pp
Remíza26%3.853.5025.7%+0.3 pp
US Hostert win34%2.942.6334.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

UN Kaerjeng1.81

Domáci share of expected goals 53.6%

Total expected goals3.38Otvoriť

Dedicated goals model: Viac 66% · Menej 34%

US Hostert1.57

Hostia share of expected goals 46.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitÁno 67% · Nie 33%Match profileOtvoriť
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

UN Kaerjeng

2.40pts / match
Odohrané5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Body12

SignalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

US Hostert

1.80pts / match
Odohrané5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Body9

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Výhra probability excluding draw
34%
12
Points from supplied form
9
1.81
Expected goals
1.57
UN KaerjengUS Hostert
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01UN Kaerjeng signalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02US Hostert signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

UN Kaerjeng vs US Hostert FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 2–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

UN Kaerjeng výhra 40%,Remíza 26%,US Hostert výhra 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.38 · Viac 2.5 66% · Current selection Viac