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LUX Люксембург - Национална дивизия · Мач ·

Каеренг vs ЮЕс Хостърт

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–23.38 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина40%
Равен26%
Победа за госта34%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина40% selection probability
Projected score2–2КаеренгЮЕс Хостърт
Expected goals3.38Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над66% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа67% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
40% / 26% / 34%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.5%)Двоен шанс1274.5%1.34
Над 66% · Под 34%Goals 2.5Над66%1.52
Да 67% · Не 33%И двата отбора да отбележатДа67%1.49
3.38 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–2
9.8 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Каеренг win40%2.502.2540%0.0 pp
Равен26%3.853.5025.7%+0.3 pp
ЮЕс Хостърт win34%2.942.6334.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Каеренг1.81

Домакин share of expected goals 53.6%

Total expected goals3.38Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 66% · Под 34%

ЮЕс Хостърт1.57

Гост share of expected goals 46.4%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitДа 67% · Не 33%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Каеренг

2.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Точки12

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

ЮЕс Хостърт

1.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Точки9

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
34%
12
Points from supplied form
9
1.81
Expected goals
1.57
КаеренгЮЕс Хостърт
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Каеренг signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ЮЕс Хостърт signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Каеренг vs ЮЕс Хостърт FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–2 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Каеренг печеливш 40%,Равен 26%,ЮЕс Хостърт печеливш 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.38 · Над 2.5 66% · Current selection Над