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BRA ブラジル パウリスタセリエB · 試合 ·

アメリカSP U23 vs インデペンデンチSP U23

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–11.66 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利34%
引き分け29%
アウェイ勝利37%
Full model forecastアウェイ勝利Tier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callアウェイ勝利37% selection probability
Projected score1–1アメリカSP U23インデペンデンチSP U23
Expected goals1.66Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー77% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ68% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
34% / 29% / 37%試合結果アウェイ勝利37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.5%)ダブルチャンス1270.5%1.42
オーバー 23% · アンダー 77%Goals 2.5アンダー77%1.30
はい 32% · いいえ 68%両チーム得点いいえ68%1.47
1.66 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
8.5 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapアメリカSP U23 winDifference+0.7 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
アメリカSP U23 win34%2.942.7033.3%+0.7 pp
引き分け29%3.453.1029%0.0 pp
インデペンデンチSP U23 win37%2.702.3837.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

アメリカSP U230.93

ホーム share of expected goals 56%

Total expected goals1.66Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 23% · アンダー 77%

インデペンデンチSP U230.73

アウェイ share of expected goals 44%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 32% · いいえ 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

アメリカSP U23

2.20pts / match
試合数5Wins3Drawn2Losses0ポイント11

Signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

インデペンデンチSP U23

3.00pts / match
試合数5Wins5Drawn0Losses0ポイント15

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
勝ち probability excluding draw
37%
11
Points from supplied form
15
0.93
Expected goals
0.73
アメリカSP U23インデペンデンチSP U23
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01アメリカSP U23 signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02インデペンデンチSP U23 signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

アメリカSP U23 vs インデペンデンチSP U23 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: アウェイ勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

アメリカSP U23 勝ち 34%,引き分け 29%,インデペンデンチSP U23 勝ち 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.66 · オーバー 2.5 23% · Current selection アンダー