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BRA Brazil Paulista Serie B · Trận đấu ·

America SP U23 vs Independente SP U23

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score1–11.66 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng34%
Hòa29%
Đội khách thắng37%
Full model forecastĐội khách thắngTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callĐội khách thắng37% selection probability
Projected score1–1America SP U23Independente SP U23
Expected goals1.66Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Xỉu77% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông68% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Xỉu 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
34% / 29% / 37%Kết quả trận đấuĐội khách thắng37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.5%)Cơ hội kép1270.5%1.42
Tài 23% · Xỉu 77%Goals 2.5Xỉu77%1.30
Có 32% · Không 68%Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông68%1.47
1.66 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác1–1
8.5 expected match cornersPhạt gócXỉu 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapAmerica SP U23 winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
America SP U23 win34%2.942.7033.3%+0.7 pp
Hòa29%3.453.1029%0.0 pp
Independente SP U23 win37%2.702.3837.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

America SP U230.93

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 56%

Total expected goals1.66Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Tài 23% · Xỉu 77%

Independente SP U230.73

Khách share of expected goals 44%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 32% · Không 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

America SP U23

2.20pts / match
Số trận5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Điểm11

SignalChủ nhà unbeaten 5/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Independente SP U23

3.00pts / match
Số trận5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Điểm15

SignalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Thắng probability excluding draw
37%
11
Points from supplied form
15
0.93
Expected goals
0.73
America SP U23Independente SP U23
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01America SP U23 signalChủ nhà unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Independente SP U23 signalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

America SP U23 vs Independente SP U23 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Đội khách thắng · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

America SP U23 thắng 34%,Hòa 29%,Independente SP U23 thắng 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.66 · Tài 2.5 23% · Current selection Xỉu