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BRA Бразилия - Паулиста - Серия B · Мач ·

Америка СП до 23 vs Индепенденте СП до 23

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–11.66 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина34%
Равен29%
Победа за госта37%
Full model forecastПобеда за гостаTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за госта37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Америка СП до 23Индепенденте СП до 23
Expected goals1.66Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под77% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе68% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
34% / 29% / 37%Резултат от мачаПобеда за госта37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.5%)Двоен шанс1270.5%1.42
Над 23% · Под 77%Goals 2.5Под77%1.30
Да 32% · Не 68%И двата отбора да отбележатНе68%1.47
1.66 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
8.5 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapАмерика СП до 23 winDifference+0.7 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Америка СП до 23 win34%2.942.7033.3%+0.7 pp
Равен29%3.453.1029%0.0 pp
Индепенденте СП до 23 win37%2.702.3837.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Америка СП до 230.93

Домакин share of expected goals 56%

Total expected goals1.66Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 23% · Под 77%

Индепенденте СП до 230.73

Гост share of expected goals 44%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 32% · Не 68%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Америка СП до 23

2.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Точки11

SignalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Индепенденте СП до 23

3.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Точки15

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
37%
11
Points from supplied form
15
0.93
Expected goals
0.73
Америка СП до 23Индепенденте СП до 23
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Америка СП до 23 signalДомакин unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Индепенденте СП до 23 signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Америка СП до 23 vs Индепенденте СП до 23 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за госта · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Америка СП до 23 печеливш 34%,Равен 29%,Индепенденте СП до 23 печеливш 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.66 · Над 2.5 23% · Current selection Под